Gold Shines In 2025, BTC-Gold Ratio Eyes Q4 Breakout

Gold dominates 2025

In 2025, gold has emerged as the strongest performing global asset. With a gain of over 33% year-to-date, gold has far outpaced the Nasdaq 100 (up just 11%) and Bitcoin (around 17%). This rally reinforces gold’s role as the ultimate safe-haven asset, especially amid economic uncertainty and renewed inflationary pressures.

Bitcoin lags behind gold

Although Bitcoin is often called “digital gold,” its 2025 performance has been lackluster compared to the metal. BTC’s gains are less than half of gold’s, reflecting investor caution as geopolitical risks and tighter monetary policies continue to weigh on risk assets.

BTC-Gold ratio and the ascending triangle

One of the most notable developments is the BTC/Gold ratio (BTC/XAU), which has been consolidating within a long-term ascending triangle since 2017. The pattern features a horizontal resistance line repeatedly tested, while higher lows form a clear uptrend — signaling building buying pressure.

Q4 breakout potential

If the BTC-Gold ratio breaks above this key resistance in Q4, Bitcoin could regain momentum and close the performance gap with gold. Such a breakout could mark the start of a new bullish cycle for BTC, while gold’s rally may begin to stall after its impressive run.

Takeaway

   • Gold remains the standout winner of 2025, delivering strong returns.

   • Bitcoin is underperforming but shows signs of a technical turnaround.

   • The BTC-Gold ratio will be the key indicator in Q4, potentially determining whether Bitcoin can challenge gold’s dominance as a safe-haven asset.

Disclaimer: This article is intended solely to provide information and market insights at the time of publication. We make no promises or guarantees regarding performance, returns, or the absolute accuracy of the data. All investment decisions are the sole responsibility of the reader.